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Quartiles/Timothy

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 6:05 p.m.

In Response To: Quartiles/Timothy (Fabrice Liardet)

The first model that comes to mind is a Poisson distribution. But this is very crude. Roughly speaking, it says that the probability that you drop 0.010 units of equity now is independent of how long it has been since you last dropped 0.010 points. Backgammon errors are probably "clumpier" than that. For example, if you commit a whopper, then you drop ten times 0.010 units of equity all at once. Still, a Poisson distribution is the first thing I'd try.

Messages In This Thread

• PR RANKING 2012
  Iancho Hristov -- Tuesday, 10 January 2012, at 9:56 p.m.
  • PR RANKING 2012
    Stick -- Tuesday, 10 January 2012, at 9:58 p.m.
  • PR RANKING 2012
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 10 January 2012, at 11:03 p.m.
    • PR RANKING 2012
      Iancho Hristov -- Tuesday, 10 January 2012, at 11:34 p.m.
      • PR RANKING 2012
        Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 11 January 2012, at 12:06 a.m.
  • PR RANKING 2012
    storm -- Wednesday, 11 January 2012, at 9:10 a.m.
    • PR RANKING 2012
      Iancho Hristov -- Wednesday, 11 January 2012, at 9:36 a.m.
      • Quartiles/Timothy
        Iancho Hristov -- Wednesday, 11 January 2012, at 5:36 p.m.
        • Quartiles/Timothy
          Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 11 January 2012, at 11:43 p.m.
          • Quartiles/Timothy
            Christian Munk-Christensen -- Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 7:20 a.m.
          • Quartiles/Timothy
            Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 8:16 a.m.
            • Quartiles/Timothy
              Christian Munk-Christensen -- Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 9:22 a.m.
              • Quartiles/Timothy
                Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 13 January 2012, at 9:32 p.m.
            • Quartiles/Timothy
              Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 6:05 p.m.
              • Quartiles/Timothy
                Stick -- Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 6:16 p.m.
                • OT: French equivalent of "Fish" is "Pigeon" *NM*
                  eXtreme Gammon -- Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 6:24 p.m.
                  • OT: French equivalent of "Fish" is "Pigeon"
                    Stick -- Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 8:00 p.m.
                    • OT: French equivalent of "Fish" is "Pigeon"
                      julie -- Friday, 13 January 2012, at 12:43 a.m.
              • Quartiles/Timothy
                Fabrice Liardet -- Friday, 13 January 2012, at 9:31 p.m.
  • PR RANKING 2012
    rew -- Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 9:14 a.m.
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    Michael Depreli -- Saturday, 28 January 2012, at 1:35 p.m.
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      Iancho Hristov -- Saturday, 28 January 2012, at 2:36 p.m.
    • NO!! PLEASE DON'T!!
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 28 January 2012, at 8:32 p.m.
      • NO!! PLEASE DON'T!!
        Michael Depreli -- Saturday, 28 January 2012, at 8:41 p.m.
      • NO!! PLEASE DON'T!!
        rambiz -- Saturday, 28 January 2012, at 10:54 p.m.
      • NO!! PLEASE DON'T!!
        Bob Koca -- Sunday, 29 January 2012, at 4:28 a.m.
  • PR RANKING 2012
    Bob Koca -- Sunday, 29 January 2012, at 4:31 a.m.