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The answer is easy if you take it logically

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 9:45 p.m.

In Response To: The answer is easy if you take it logically (Casper van der Tak)

Was "app" a typo for "all"?

All 305 plays? Nah. I rolled out two hitting plays and two nonhitting plays. The two nonhitting plays, which seemed to the best of a bad bunch, were huge blunders.

Passive play doesn't appear to give Blue very good GWC, so Blue should try to try win with this 1-1 joker, and if he's going to hit, Blue should want to play 13/11*, unless the trade-off with hitting the other blot seems too awful. If Blue plays 13/11*, the rest of the roll plays itself for reasons Christian mentioned. 13/11*/10 3/2 leaves 3/36 more hitting returns than 6/5*(2) 3/1, and loses more gammons, but (1) wins more games because it makes it easier to contain White, and (2) gets better equity because Blue gets to make more, earlier and better doubles.

Messages In This Thread

• The answer is easy if you take it logically
  Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 14 February 2012, at 4:24 p.m.
  • The answer is easy if you take it logically
    Turz -- Tuesday, 14 February 2012, at 4:49 p.m.
    • The answer is easy if you take it logically
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 14 February 2012, at 6:05 p.m.
      • The answer is easy if you take it logically
        Turz -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 11:30 a.m.
        • The answer is easy if you take it logically
          neilkaz -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 4:06 p.m.
  • Question for Mr. Murphy
    Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 14 February 2012, at 5:14 p.m.
    • Question for Mr. Anybody
      Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 14 February 2012, at 5:48 p.m.
  • The answer is easy if you take it logically
    christian munk-christensen -- Tuesday, 14 February 2012, at 8:47 p.m.
    • The answer is easy if you take it logically
      Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 9:08 p.m.
      • The answer is easy if you take it logically
        Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 9:45 p.m.
        • The answer is easy if you take it logically
          Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 11:19 p.m.
  • The answer is easy if you take it logically
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 14 February 2012, at 11:09 p.m.
    • The answer is easy if you take it logically
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 4:40 p.m.
      • The answer is easy if you take it logically
        Stick -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 4:50 p.m.
        • The answer is easy if you take it logically
          David -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 8:06 p.m.
          • The answer is easy if you take it logically
            Stick -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 8:29 p.m.
            • The answer is easy if you take it logically
              Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 9:17 p.m.
              • The answer is easy if you take it logically
                Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 10:11 p.m.
                • The answer is easy if you take it logically
                  Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 10:13 p.m.
                  • The answer is easy if you take it logically
                    Sam Pottle -- Thursday, 16 February 2012, at 3:56 p.m.
            • The answer is easy if you take it logically
              David -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 9:41 p.m.
  • There must be 50 ways to make a blunder... *NM*
    David Rennie -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 1:19 a.m.
    • There must be 50 ways to make a blunder...
      Stein Kulseth -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 11:54 p.m.
      • +1 rooting for Mott *NM*
        Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 16 February 2012, at 12:20 a.m.
  • logically - RO
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 9:27 p.m.