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Daily Quiz 2/20 - Matches from PGH #2: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 24 February 2012, at 3:29 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 2/20 - Matches from PGH #2 (Daily Quiz)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 135
9 point match
pip: 115
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--bBCBCA----bB---cBdaab---:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 69.23% (G: 14.41% B: 0.64%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.77% (G: 5.66% B: 0.20%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.477
Double:+0.955
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.738 (-0.009)
Double/Take:+0.747
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.253)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 158
9 point match
pip: 84
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-CDbbCBB-----aa--Ab-bbb--:0:0:1:00:2:0:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 67.99% (G: 46.58% B: 1.09%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.01% (G: 4.37% B: 0.19%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.803
Double:+1.609
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.941 (-0.059)
Double/Take:+1.250 (+0.250)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

With the score reversed, it appears to be borderline TG:





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 158
9 point match
pip: 84
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-CDbbCBB-----aa--Ab-bbb--:0:0:1:00:0:2:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 68.08% (G: 46.47% B: 1.09%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.92% (G: 4.42% B: 0.20%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.778
Double:+1.689
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.992 (-0.008)
Double/Take:+1.498 (+0.498)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

I missed 22/13 for entirely psychological reasons. This is an important blindspot for me to correct.





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 175
9 point match
pip: 168
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a--bEbD---cC----abbbBA--:0:0:1:63:4:4:0:9:10
Blue to play 63

1.XG Roller+22/13eq: -0.341
Player:
Opponent:		 42.58% (G:9.59% B:0.32%)
57.42% (G:17.55% B:0.66%)
2.XG Roller+23/14eq: -0.436 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		 39.47% (G:8.30% B:0.28%)
60.53% (G:15.86% B:0.63%)
3.XG Roller+13/4eq: -0.532 (-0.191)
Player:
Opponent:		 37.54% (G:8.44% B:0.28%)
62.46% (G:18.00% B:0.85%)
4.XG Roller+23/17 6/3eq: -0.536 (-0.195)
Player:
Opponent:		 38.42% (G:8.28% B:0.32%)
61.58% (G:18.75% B:0.90%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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