Son of “The Return of Jeremy,” Part II *** Rollout ***

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Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Monday, 9 April 2012, at 3:34 a.m.

In Response To: Son of “The Return of Jeremy,” Part II (Taper_Mike)

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White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 160

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 77
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=bBBaCCB-b-B-A----c-b-cb---:1:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32
1. Rollout¹ 12/9 5/3* eq: +1.6952
Player:
Opponent: 92.66% (G:85.05% B:3.22%)
7.34% (G:0.76% B:0.03%) Conf.: ±0.0011 (+1.6942...+1.6963) - [100.0%]
Duration: 39 minutes 41 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 10/7 5/3* eq: +1.6776 (-0.0176)
Player:
Opponent: 92.11% (G:84.96% B:3.14%)
7.89% (G:1.04% B:0.08%) Conf.: ±0.0010 (+1.6767...+1.6786) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 45 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 6/3* 5/3 eq: +1.6737 (-0.0215)
Player:
Opponent: 92.28% (G:84.36% B:2.79%)
7.72% (G:1.06% B:0.04%) Conf.: ±0.0010 (+1.6727...+1.6747) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 23 seconds

¹ 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 17157762
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Although this position might appear to require a Jeremy-type move, it does not. Hitting is certainly called for, but of the top three ways to hit, the Jeremy-type play is worst. After the hit, either 12/9 or 10/7 brings a third checker within direct range of the slotted point. Switching to the 3pt with 6/3 leaves only two checkers within direct range.
For reference, here is the list of Jeremy-type positions that Tim posted:
Bagai 1
Bagai 2
Bagai 3
Weaver 1
Kazaross 1
Mike