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BGonline.org Forums
2-away 5-away
Posted By: Christian Munk-Christensen In Response To: 2-away 5-away (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Tuesday, 1 May 2012, at 10:51 a.m.
Pass: 15%
Take/recube, and win: 68%
Take/recube, and lose: 0%
Raw take point: 15/(68-0) = 22%
White will win a few Gs which will lower the TP a bit, perhaps down to say 21%.
Can white win 21% from here? I doubt it. There is no timing and the only roll which doesn't crack the board is 16. White's position rate to deteriorate quickly from here and I don't really think that white will run away often enough to eek out a take.
I imagine the position of white's spare can do a lot to the equity of the position. Obviously, the further you move it back, the better white's game will be.
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