41S-32 — UG, DMP, GG, GS — 3-ply XG2 Rollouts

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41S-32 — UG, DMP, GG, GS — 3-ply XG2 Rollouts

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Wednesday, 8 August 2012, at 4:36 a.m.

In Response To: 41S-32 (KenB)

–

Wow! I am both impressed and envious. My little laptop would probably croak if I attempted to do a rollout like Ken’s or David’s.
Below are 5 more rollouts of the same position, including 3-ply XG2 rollouts at all four major scores. The unlimited games rollout is from Ken. It was a semi-accidental rehearsal for his 4-ply effort. Before today, I have not seen any of these posted elsewhere.
Thanks to the rollateers: David, Ken, Miran, and Stick.
If you have a rollout of this position that you would like to share, please send it to me, and/or post it here.
Mike

Unlimited Games: Ken – DMP: Miran – GG: Stick David – GS: David – End: Threads

41S-32 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Rollateer

XG 2.xx 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 10842456 –157.8 [Z S3] "<=221 Ken Bame

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-aa---E-C---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1. Rollout¹ 24/22 13/10 eq: -0.1578
Player:
Opponent: 46.60% (G:12.30% B:0.53%)
53.40% (G:16.56% B:0.75%) Conf.: ±0.0012 (-0.1590...-0.1566) - [99.9%]
Duration: 1 day 03 hours 38 minutes
2. Rollout² 24/21 13/11 eq: -0.1606 (-0.0027)
Player:
Opponent: 46.66% (G:12.06% B:0.54%)
53.34% (G:16.53% B:0.76%) Conf.: ±0.0012 (-0.1618...-0.1593) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 day 04 hours 35 minutes

¹ 221289 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 10842456
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 221290 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 10842456
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Ken Bame
Distributed by Ken on 2012-Jul-31
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.xx
41S-32-kbv2.xgp
41S-32 [Z S3] "<=221

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Unlimited Games: Ken – DMP: Miran – GG: Stick David – GS: David – End: Threads

41S-32 — Double Match Point
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Rollateer

XG 2.03 3-ply, MET: Kazaross XG2 7557664 –61.6 d[S Z4 D16] "<20*2 Miran Tuhtan

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162

1 point match

pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-aa---E-C---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 32

1. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/11 eq: -0.0616
Player:
Opponent: 46.92% (G:13.49% B:1.62%)
53.08% (G:19.07% B:2.43%) Conf.: ±0.0014 (-0.0631...-0.0602) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 07 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/22 13/10 eq: -0.0653 (-0.0036)
Player:
Opponent: 46.74% (G:13.61% B:1.49%)
53.26% (G:19.11% B:2.45%) Conf.: ±0.0014 (-0.0667...-0.0638) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
3. Rollout² 13/11 13/10 eq: -0.0774 (-0.0158)
Player:
Opponent: 46.13% (G:14.14% B:1.90%)
53.87% (G:19.55% B:3.58%) Conf.: ±0.0044 (-0.0818...-0.0731) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 34 seconds

¹ 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 7557664
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

² 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 7557664
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

Rollout by Miran Tuhtan
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
41S-32-d-mt.xgp
41S-32-d d[S Z4 D16] "<20*2

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Unlimited Games: Ken – DMP: Miran – GG: Stick David – GS: David – End: Threads

41S-32 — Gammon Go
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Rollateer

GnuBg 2-ply 809666524 +191.483 g[Z D4 S9] /5 Stick

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 2, Readers 1 (match to 3 points, Crawford game)
Move number 2: Readers to play 32

gnubg 162

Readers 167
Position ID: 4HPhASjgc/ABMA Match ID: 8IlpACAACAAE

# Ply Move Equity

1 R 24/22 13/10 +0.191483

0.473841 0.121900 0.017114 - 0.526159 0.245258 0.041893 +0.191483 +0.191483

0.001178 0.000988 0.001270 - 0.001178 0.003477 0.002031 0.003076 0.003076

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 809666524 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

• 2 R 13/11 13/10 +0.187173 ( -0.004310)

0.470363 0.123224 0.014726 - 0.529637 0.242067 0.052771 +0.187173 +0.187173

0.001217 0.000977 0.001112 - 0.001217 0.003465 0.002252 0.003195 0.003195

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 809666524 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

3 R 24/21 13/11 +0.182840 ( -0.008643)

0.475376 0.116044 0.014718 - 0.524624 0.241770 0.042242 +0.182840 +0.182840

0.001194 0.001005 0.001181 - 0.001194 0.003523 0.002188 0.003193 0.003193

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 809666524 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Unlimited Games: Ken – DMP: Miran – GG: Stick David – GS: David – End: Threads

41S-32 — Gammon Go
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Rollateer

XG 2.xx 3-ply 67885158 +187.7 g[D=Z S5] "<31 David Rockwell

White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 162

2 point match
Crawford

pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-aa---E-C---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:32:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 32

1. Rollout¹ 13/11 13/10 eq: +0.1877
Player:
Opponent: 46.75% (G:12.64% B:1.14%)
53.25% (G:19.74% B:3.54%) Conf.: ±0.0016 (+0.1861...+0.1893) - [56.5%]
Duration: 6 hours 11 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/22 13/10 eq: +0.1875 (-0.0002)
Player:
Opponent: 47.19% (G:12.19% B:1.09%)
52.81% (G:19.69% B:2.55%) Conf.: ±0.0016 (+0.1859...+0.1891) - [43.5%]
Duration: 6 hours 05 minutes
3. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/11 eq: +0.1829 (-0.0047)
Player:
Opponent: 47.43% (G:11.72% B:0.99%)
52.57% (G:19.35% B:2.55%) Conf.: ±0.0016 (+0.1814...+0.1845) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 hours 18 minutes

¹ 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67885158
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

Rollout by David Rockwell
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.xx
41S-32-g-dr.xgp
41S-32 g[D=Z S5] "<31

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Unlimited Games: Ken – DMP: Miran – GG: Stick David – GS: David – End: Threads

41S-32 — Gammon Save
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Rollateer

XG 2.xx 3-ply 44541785 –398.8 s[S Z6 D22 T34 U34] "<31*15 10 David Rockwell

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162

2 point match
Crawford

pip: 167
score: 1

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-aa---E-C---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:32:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 32

1. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/11 eq: -0.3988
Player:
Opponent: 45.99% (G:13.90% B:1.79%)
54.01% (G:15.93% B:1.64%) Conf.: ±0.0016 (-0.4004...-0.3972) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 23 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/22 13/10 eq: -0.4051 (-0.0063)
Player:
Opponent: 45.79% (G:14.11% B:1.70%)
54.21% (G:16.05% B:1.63%) Conf.: ±0.0016 (-0.4067...-0.4035) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 10 minutes
3. Rollout² 13/11 13/10 eq: -0.4204 (-0.0216)
Player:
Opponent: 45.01% (G:14.39% B:1.83%)
54.99% (G:16.03% B:2.30%) Conf.: ±0.0023 (-0.4227...-0.4181) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 hours 29 minutes
4. Rollout³ 13/8 eq: -0.4331 (-0.0343)
Player:
Opponent: 45.05% (G:13.78% B:1.42%)
54.95% (G:16.71% B:1.80%) Conf.: ±0.0027 (-0.4358...-0.4303) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 hours 17 minutes
5. Rollout³ 24/22 24/21 eq: -0.4332 (-0.0344)
Player:
Opponent: 44.66% (G:12.24% B:1.39%)
55.34% (G:16.32% B:1.39%) Conf.: ±0.0027 (-0.4359...-0.4305) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 hours 51 minutes

¹ 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44541785
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

² 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44541785
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

³ 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44541785
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

Rollout by David Rockwell
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.xx
41S-32-s-dr.xgp
41S-32 s[S Z6 D22 T34 U34] "<31*15 10

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Unlimited Games: Ken – DMP: Miran – GG: Stick David – GS: David – End: Threads

41S-32 — Unlimited Games
Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Rollateer
XG 2.xx 3-ply, Cubes: XGR	10842456	–157.8	[Z S3] "<=221	Ken Bame

41S-32 — Double Match Point
Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Rollateer
XG 2.03 3-ply, MET: Kazaross XG2	7557664	–61.6	d[S Z4 D16] "<20*2	Miran Tuhtan

41S-32 — Gammon Go
Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Rollateer
GnuBg 2-ply	809666524	+191.483	g[Z D4 S9] /5	Stick

gnubg	162

Readers	167
Position ID: `4HPhASjgc/ABMA` Match ID: `8IlpACAACAAE`

41S-32 — Gammon Go
Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Rollateer
XG 2.xx 3-ply	67885158	+187.7	g[D=Z S5] "<31	David Rockwell

41S-32 — Gammon Save
Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Rollateer
XG 2.xx 3-ply	44541785	–398.8	s[S Z6 D22 T34 U34] "<31*15 10	David Rockwell

Messages In This Thread

41S-32
KenB -- Tuesday, 7 August 2012, at 11:47 p.m.
- 41S-32 - my RO
  David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 8 August 2012, at 1:31 a.m.
  - 41S-32 - my RO
    Stick -- Wednesday, 8 August 2012, at 5:03 a.m.
    - 41S-32 - my RO
      KenB -- Wednesday, 8 August 2012, at 3:44 p.m.
      - 41S-32 - my RO
        David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 8 August 2012, at 5:33 p.m.
- 41S-32 — UG, DMP, GG, GS — 3-ply XG2 Rollouts
  Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 8 August 2012, at 4:36 a.m.

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