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Halloween decision revisted

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 12 November 2007, at 4:12 p.m.

Actually I've been running this RO for over a week. I figured if I posted in the original thread no one (except Stick) would notice.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 3, Blue 6 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: Blue on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: White 150, Blue 207
Position ID: 4HPiYQDgAz5gVA Match ID: cAlgATAAMAAA

• Blue moves bar/15* 23/13

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0.4136	(Money: -0.4114)
	0.3686 0.0712 0.0012 - 0.6314 0.2101 0.0108
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0.7992
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+1.7992
3.	Double, take	-2.0060	-1.2068
Proper cube action:		No double, take (40.1%)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.040)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	bar/15*/5	-0.3667
			0.4470 0.1079 0.0054 - 0.5530 0.1662 0.0069 -0.2016 -0.3667 0.0010 0.0009 0.0003 - 0.0010 0.0010 0.0005 0.0032 0.0069
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			8930 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1040790144 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	bar/15*/10 23/18	-0.3826 ( -0.0159)
			0.4423 0.1036 0.0051 - 0.5577 0.1662 0.0065 -0.2124 -0.3826 0.0010 0.0008 0.0004 - 0.0010 0.0010 0.0004 0.0029 0.0061
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			8929 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1040790144 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	R	bar/15* 23/13	-0.4069 ( -0.0402)
			0.4328 0.0990 0.0039 - 0.5672 0.1564 0.0061 -0.2262 -0.4069 0.0010 0.0009 0.0004 - 0.0010 0.0010 0.0004 0.0029 0.0064
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			7903 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1040790144 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/15* 20/15(2)	-0.4873 ( -0.1206)
			0.4201 0.0873 0.0023 - 0.5799 0.1733 0.0063
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	bar/15*/10 6/1	-0.5025 ( -0.1358)
			0.4245 0.0992 0.0029 - 0.5755 0.1949 0.0101
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	6	2	bar/15* 23/18 20/15	-0.5160 ( -0.1493)
			0.4120 0.0798 0.0021 - 0.5880 0.1731 0.0062
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	7	2	bar/15* 6/1(2)	-0.5259 ( -0.1591)
			0.4037 0.0975 0.0018 - 0.5963 0.1669 0.0051
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	8	0	bar/15* 23/18 6/1	-0.6359 ( -0.2691)
			0.3919 0.0776 0.0018 - 0.6081 0.1928 0.0068
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	9	0	bar/15*/10 20/15	-0.6388 ( -0.2721)
			0.3939 0.0822 0.0026 - 0.6061 0.1921 0.0139
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	10	0	bar/15* 20/15 6/1	-0.6500 ( -0.2833)
			0.3898 0.0789 0.0020 - 0.6102 0.1928 0.0089
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Messages In This Thread

• Halloween decision revisted
  Chuck Bower -- Monday, 12 November 2007, at 4:12 p.m.
  • Halloween decision revisted
    Keene -- Monday, 12 November 2007, at 4:40 p.m.
    • Halloween decision revisted
      Chuck Bower -- Monday, 12 November 2007, at 7:39 p.m.