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XG cube analysis -- Methodology question

Posted By: joe freedman
Date: Tuesday, 4 December 2012, at 3:22 a.m.

I guess no one was too interested in this one, which XG says is a take. But I'm wondering how it can be a take, given the cubeless equity of 1.17. Can cube possession be that valuable in this position? Also, is it likely that white will become too good over 7% of the time?





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 120
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A-aBCC-aB-----bbb-bBbb-aB:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.90% (G:22.74% B:0.54%) 70.99% (G:23.81% B:0.50%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.10% (G:7.02% B:0.29%) 29.01% (G:7.31% B:0.25%)
Cubeless Equities +0.578 +1.174
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.804 (-0.159)
Double/Take:+0.963
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.037)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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