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OLM 2013-06-21

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 21 June 2013, at 10:13 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 2013-06-21 (Jason Lee)

If we don't hit I would play 13/5. We are probably favored to get another shot. But we won't be favored to hit it. Looking at White's home board and its blot, I can't see not passing up the opportunity to hit now.

With 13/11* we can play 11/5 -- 1 blot and 15/36 return hits (including a deadly 55); 8/2 -- 2 blots and 14/36 returns; or 13/7 -- 3 blots and 11/36 returns. Again looking at White's board, I would minimize returns. 13/11* 13/7 also gives us many ways to make 5, 7 or 2 point -- after we're missed!

13/11* 13/7.

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