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53P-41S-43 Unlimited Games Another XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Saturday, 22 June 2013, at 3:58 a.m.

In Response To: 53P-41S-43 Unlimited Games 3-ply XG2 Rollout (Taper_Mike)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 159
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaB--D-B---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43
1.Rollout124/21 13/9eq: +0.0762
Player:
Opponent:
51.49% (G:16.19% B:0.73%)
48.51% (G:13.78% B:0.65%)
Conf.: ±0.0025 (+0.0737...+0.0788) - [59.8%]
Duration: 10 hours 58 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 6/2* eq: +0.0758 (-0.0005)
Player:
Opponent:
51.36% (G:16.23% B:0.83%)
48.64% (G:13.62% B:0.66%)
Conf.: ±0.0027 (+0.0731...+0.0784) - [40.2%]
Duration: 12 hours 09 minutes
3.Rollout213/10 13/9eq: +0.0564 (-0.0198)
Player:
Opponent:
50.72% (G:17.35% B:0.81%)
49.28% (G:14.06% B:0.85%)
Conf.: ±0.0056 (+0.0508...+0.0620) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 21 minutes
4.Rollout224/20 13/10eq: +0.0554 (-0.0208)
Player:
Opponent:
50.95% (G:16.65% B:0.89%)
49.05% (G:14.26% B:0.70%)
Conf.: ±0.0056 (+0.0498...+0.0610) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 31 minutes
5.Rollout224/21 24/20eq: +0.0126 (-0.0637)
Player:
Opponent:
50.13% (G:14.89% B:0.81%)
49.87% (G:14.43% B:0.57%)
Conf.: ±0.0055 (+0.0071...+0.0181) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 23 minutes
6.Rollout213/10 6/2* eq: -0.0014 (-0.0776)
Player:
Opponent:
49.60% (G:16.52% B:0.97%)
50.40% (G:15.20% B:0.95%)
Conf.: ±0.0062 (-0.0076...+0.0049) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 39 minutes
 
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Petter Bengtsson
2013-Jun-21
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
53P-41S-43-pb.xgp
[Z=X D20 S21 U64 N78] "<=46*10

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

53P-41S-43 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply Trunc 686299714 +43.578 [Z X9 D17 S20] /0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR [Neil 46k + Mike 62k + Petter 46k] +75.9 [Z X1 S17 D19 U64 N78] "<=155*41*10 [XG2 Aggregate]
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 13579 +76.2 [Z=X D20 S21 U64 N78] "<=46*10 Petter Bengtsson (above)
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 17308727 +76.8 [X=Z S16 D19] "<=62*31 Taper_Mike
XG 2.10.192.pre-release 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 78623594 +74.8 [Z X2] "<=46 Neil Kazaross
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] +76.7 [Z X4 S20 D22] "&e Taper_Mike

Key: D (Down) = 13/10 13/9, N (Near) = 13/10 6/2*, S (Split) = 24/20 13/10, U (Up) = 24/21 24/20, X (Hit and split) = 24/21 6/2*, Z (Reverse split) = 24/21 13/9

Explanation of nacbracs

Thanks to Petter, who sent this rollout.

After 155k, the 3-ply aggregate is settling in at [Z X1]. In the preceding post, I hazzard an explanation why Z does so much better here than it does in the related second-roll position 41S-43.

Mike

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