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53P-32S-52H-65 — UG and –4–8 — 3-ply XG2 Rollouts by Petter

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Thursday, 11 July 2013, at 7:16 a.m.

In Response To: 53P-32S-52H-65 — UG and –4–8 — 3-ply XG2 Rollouts (Taper_Mike)

Thanks, Petter, for sharing these two rollouts. Together with the GG rollout made by Gary, and the XGR++ evals I made at DMP and GS, we have:
  • R (Run) = bar/14 wins the rollouts at DMP, GS, and UG.
  • W (Wild) = bar/20 11/5 wins the rollouts at GG and 4-away, 8-away.
That being the case, I think we can conclude that it is GG considerations driving the success of W at 4-away, 8-away.

Mike

4-away, 8-away
White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 152
11 point match
pip: 166
score: 7

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C--AdD---c-c-ab-AA:0:0:1:56:7:3:0:11:10
Blue to play 56
1.Rollout1Bar/20 11/5eq: -0.4263
Player:
Opponent:		43.27% (G:11.50% B:0.97%)
56.73% (G:20.17% B:1.07%)		Conf.: ±0.0030 (-0.4292...-0.4233) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 hours 02 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/14eq: -0.4370 (-0.0107)
Player:
Opponent:		44.33% (G:10.54% B:0.98%)
55.67% (G:20.87% B:0.73%)		Conf.: ±0.0032 (-0.4402...-0.4338) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 55 minutes
 
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Petter Bengtsson
2013-Jul-09
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
MET: Kazaross XG2
53P-32S-52H-65-pb.xgp
-4-8 [W R11] "<=31

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

53P-32S-52H-65 — According to Score
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply Trunc, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross 687329498 –490.584 –4–8 [W R13] /0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR, MET: Kazaross XG2 [Petter 31k + Mike 31k] –426.3 –4–8 [W R12] "<=62 [XG2 Aggregate]
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR, MET: Kazaross XG2 13579 –426.3 –4–8 [W R11] "<=31 Petter Bengtsson (above)
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR, MET: Kazaross XG2 46549488 –426.2 –4–8 [W R13] "<=31 Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval, MET: Kazaross XG2 [XGR++ seed] –445.2 –4–8 [W R4] "&e Taper_Mike

Key: R (Run) = bar/14, W (Wild) = bar/20 11/5

Explanation of nacbracs

Unlimited Games
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 166
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C--AdD---c-c-ab-AA:0:0:1:56:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 56
1.Rollout1Bar/14eq: -0.2985
Player:
Opponent:		44.32% (G:10.50% B:0.55%)
55.68% (G:20.67% B:0.85%)		Conf.: ±0.0038 (-0.3023...-0.2947) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 57 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/20 11/5eq: -0.3101 (-0.0115)
Player:
Opponent:		43.43% (G:11.38% B:0.50%)
56.57% (G:20.16% B:1.14%)		Conf.: ±0.0035 (-0.3136...-0.3066) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 37 minutes
 
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Petter Bengtsson
2013-Jul-09
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
53P-32S-52H-65-pb.xgp
[R W12] "<=20

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

53P-32S-52H-65 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply Trunc 687245583 –344.076 [R W16] /0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR [Petter 20k + Mike 62k] –297.8 [R W8] "<=82 [XG2 Aggregate]
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 13579 –298.5 [R W12] "<=20 Petter Bengtsson (above)
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 46549488 –297.6 [R W7] "<=62 Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] –296.8 [R W21] "&e Taper_Mike

Key: R (Run) = bar/14, W (Wild) = bar/20 11/5

Explanation of nacbracs

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