53 to Play
Posted By: ah_clem In Response To: 53 to Play (roadkillbooks)
Date: Monday, 29 July 2013, at 2:42 p.m.
In Response To: 53 to Play (roadkillbooks)
the choice seems to be between pointing on brown's little head, or running a blot to safety.
White is up by ~20 pips, so the running play would seem to be favored. 16/8 leaves 15 shakes that hit, while 8/3* 6/3 gives 19 shakes that hit.
Mu hunch here is that the right play is strongly affected by the cube action after the next sequence, but unfortunately I'm not good enough at cube handling to weigh all the various permutations. For instance, afterh POH/dance is it a cash? Would it be TG if we turned off Jacoby?
I'll make the safer play, but won't be surprised if POH wins the rollout.
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