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Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Sunday, 29 September 2013, at 12:41 a.m.

In Response To: White to play 41 (John O'Hagan)

I misplayed this one. Hitting 6/1x is better than 6/2 5/4. I felt it was better to force Black to play his whole roll since that creates 13 bad numbers - any five plus D3 and D4. You won't be gin if this happens but you'll be a solid favorite. On Black's other 23 numbers, you will then have 8 bad numbers of your own. It's slightly better to hit loose. If Black rolls an ace, you'll be favored to win the priming battle. If not, you'll be a clear fav to cover, escape, and win the game.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 81
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 89
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBCCB-----------dbbccA-:1:-1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
to play 41

1.Rollout16/1* eq: +0.475
Player:
Opponent:
75.70% (G:5.93% B:0.20%)
24.30% (G:2.64% B:0.10%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.470...+0.480) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 33 seconds
2.Rollout16/2 5/4eq: +0.457 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:
74.98% (G:6.56% B:0.19%)
25.02% (G:3.67% B:0.15%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.452...+0.462) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 28 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

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