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61-55-21, explanation?

Posted By: Tenland
Date: Monday, 7 October 2013, at 6:18 p.m.

It surprises me that according to xg roller++, 13/11 6/5 is virtually tied with 7/5 6/5 after 61-55. Normally, 7/5 6/5 tends to be better than 13/11 6/5 on the third roll after the 61 opening. I include a couple of other positions for reference. One where the opponent holds his three point just like he does after 61-55 (61-53), and one where he has a blitzing oriented position with a good race (and I have good timing for priming...), just like after 61-55 (61-66).

It seems to me that the blitzing character of the opponent's second roll play might be a factor...

Can anyone help me understand why 13/11 6/5 is so good after 61-55 (and 61-66) compared to in other 61-XX-21 situations?





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 147
Unlimited Game
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBB---cD---c-e--b-B-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller++7/5 6/5eq: +0,031
Player:
Opponent:
51,53% (G:15,00% B:0,64%)
48,47% (G:15,99% B:1,16%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: +0,030 (-0,001)
Player:
Opponent:
52,32% (G:14,06% B:0,60%)
47,68% (G:16,83% B:1,44%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
Unlimited Game
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBB---eD---b-d--b-B-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller++7/5 6/5eq: +0,083
Player:
Opponent:
52,06% (G:16,13% B:0,73%)
47,94% (G:14,63% B:0,92%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: +0,046 (-0,037)
Player:
Opponent:
52,01% (G:14,54% B:0,65%)
47,99% (G:15,40% B:1,13%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 143
Unlimited Game
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBB---cD---abe---bB-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller++7/5 6/5eq: +0,051
Player:
Opponent:
52,36% (G:15,56% B:0,83%)
47,64% (G:16,72% B:1,29%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 6/5eq: +0,040 (-0,011)
Player:
Opponent:
52,90% (G:14,42% B:0,70%)
47,10% (G:17,69% B:1,57%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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