Making the 9pt is such a natural play. But with the cube turned a couple extra gammons after 8/4 6/4 make this play come out just slightly ahead. Very tough play to figure out.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 135 | Unlimited Game Jacoby | pip: 126 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a---CD-C--AcDaaa--dbb----:1:-1:1:42:0:0:1:0:10 |
Blue to play 42 |
1. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/4 | eq: +0.431 |
| Player: Opponent: | 72.87% (G:9.23% B:0.13%) 27.13% (G:2.66% B:0.07%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.430...+0.433) - [100.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 21 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 13/9 11/9 | eq: +0.426 (-0.006) |
| Player: Opponent: | 73.06% (G:7.37% B:0.11%) 26.94% (G:2.19% B:0.06%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.424...+0.427) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 58 seconds |
|
|
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62360342 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
At DMP the two plays are tied.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 135 | 1 point match | pip: 126 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a---CD-C--AcDaaa--dbb----:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:1:10 |
Blue to play 42 |
1. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/4 | eq: +0.466 |
| Player: Opponent: | 73.31% (G:7.85% B:0.25%) 26.69% (G:2.06% B:0.10%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.466...+0.467) - [98.9%] Duration: 1 hour 08 minutes |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 13/9 11/9 | eq: +0.465 (-0.001) |
| Player: Opponent: | 73.26% (G:6.19% B:0.20%) 26.74% (G:1.85% B:0.10%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.465...+0.466) - [1.1%] Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes |
|
|
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62360342 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
A variant.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 137 | Unlimited Game Jacoby | pip: 126 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a---CD-C--AcDaaa-bbbb----:1:-1:1:42:0:0:1:0:10 |
Blue to play 42 |
1. | Rollout1 | 13/9 11/9 | eq: +0.449 |
| Player: Opponent: | 73.71% (G:7.77% B:0.09%) 26.29% (G:2.12% B:0.06%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.445...+0.453) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 32 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/4 | eq: +0.439 (-0.011) |
| Player: Opponent: | 72.86% (G:9.83% B:0.12%) 27.14% (G:2.73% B:0.08%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.434...+0.443) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 20 seconds |
|
|
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 68675974 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10