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4 ply/XGR+/XGR++/Rollout

Posted By: Snua
Date: Tuesday, 29 October 2013, at 9:30 a.m.

In Response To: Would you even give this a second thought? (Snua)





White is Player 1

score: 2
pip: 122
7 point match
pip: 124
score: 3

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-BcBB-CB----B-----bcc-b-bB:0:0:-1:00:2:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in 4-ply No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.54% (G:31.44% B:0.48%) 62.46% (G:31.20% B:0.48%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.46% (G:10.33% B:0.45%) 37.54% (G:10.05% B:0.41%)
Cubeless Equities +0.558 +1.435
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.663 (-0.238)
Double/Take:+0.901
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.099)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 1

score: 2
pip: 122
7 point match
pip: 124
score: 3

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-BcBB-CB----B-----bcc-b-bB:0:0:-1:00:2:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.41% (G:32.29% B:0.48%) 62.09% (G:32.63% B:0.50%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.59% (G:10.73% B:0.47%) 37.91% (G:10.93% B:0.49%)
Cubeless Equities +0.562 +1.438
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.676 (-0.272)
Double/Take:+0.948
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.052)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 1

score: 2
pip: 122
7 point match
pip: 124
score: 3

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-BcBB-CB----B-----bcc-b-bB:0:0:-1:00:2:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.13% (G:32.65% B:0.49%) 62.18% (G:33.41% B:0.47%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.87% (G:11.02% B:0.53%) 37.82% (G:11.27% B:0.59%)
Cubeless Equities +0.558 +1.455
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.679 (-0.303)
Double/Take:+0.982
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.018)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is snua

score: 2
pip: 122
7 point match
pip: 124
score: 3

Blue is PG
XGID=-BcBB-CB----B-----bcc-b-bB:0:0:-1:00:2:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.32% (G:33.44% B:0.60%) 62.76% (G:34.28% B:1.12%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.68% (G:11.29% B:0.65%) 37.24% (G:11.66% B:1.65%)
Cubeless Equities +0.569 +1.471
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.690 (-0.310)±0.008 (+0.682..+0.697)
xg Double/Take:+1.071 (+0.071)±0.015 (+1.056..+1.086)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70876772
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 32 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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