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Any merit to this?

Posted By: Michael Nielsen
Date: Monday, 4 November 2013, at 12:05 p.m.

According to XG I gave up more than 1% MWC on this play.





White is eXtremeGammon

score: 0
pip: 116
1 point match
pip: 112
score: 0

Blue is Michael dmp
XGID=--AC-BBCB-a----bbbbccB----:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout17/4 7/1 6/3eq: -0.360
Player:
Opponent:
31.99% (G:2.84% B:0.06%)
68.01% (G:5.14% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.364...-0.357) - [99.9%]
Duration: 6 minutes 14 seconds
2.Rollout18/5(2) 7/4 6/3eq: -0.369 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
31.56% (G:2.51% B:0.04%)
68.44% (G:5.21% B:0.40%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.373...-0.365) - [0.1%]
Duration: 6 minutes 41 seconds
3.Rollout17/4(2) 7/1eq: -0.387 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
30.65% (G:1.91% B:0.02%)
69.35% (G:3.77% B:0.06%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.391...-0.383) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 30 seconds
4.Rollout18/2 7/4(2)eq: -0.387 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
30.64% (G:1.99% B:0.02%)
69.36% (G:3.64% B:0.06%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.391...-0.384) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 45 seconds
5.Rollout17/1 6/3(2)eq: -0.388 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:
30.59% (G:2.37% B:0.03%)
69.41% (G:6.35% B:0.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.392...-0.384) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 31 seconds
6.Rollout18/5 7/1 6/3eq: -0.389 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
30.53% (G:2.70% B:0.07%)
69.47% (G:5.76% B:0.31%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.393...-0.386) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 23 seconds
7.Rollout17/4 6/3 5/2(2)eq: -0.390 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
30.52% (G:2.64% B:0.04%)
69.48% (G:5.56% B:0.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.393...-0.386) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 28 seconds
8.Rollout17/1 6/3 5/2eq: -0.390 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
30.50% (G:2.10% B:0.02%)
69.50% (G:5.95% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.394...-0.386) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 27 seconds
9.Rollout18/5 7/4(3)eq: -0.390 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
30.49% (G:1.66% B:0.01%)
69.51% (G:3.69% B:0.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.394...-0.387) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 35 seconds
10.Rollout18/5(2) 7/4(2)eq: -0.391 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:
30.45% (G:1.98% B:0.01%)
69.55% (G:3.77% B:0.07%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.395...-0.387) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 49 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position after the best play:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 116
1 point match
pip: 100
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-AADABAAB-a----bbbbccB----:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 33

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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