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RO

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 23 November 2013, at 4:03 p.m.

In Response To: RO (Smcrtorchs)

Right, with the cube still centered you can't give the huge swing on 6-2, and maybe a couple of other rolls.

Before the roll:

The score is: White 5, Blue 3 (match to 7 points)

White	131
Blue	134
Position ID: 7MzBA0BsmxWAEQ Match ID: cAnlAFAAGAAE

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity		+0.5964	(Money: +0.6603)
	0.7053 0.3106 0.0048 - 0.2947 0.0634 0.0022
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+1.0024
2.	Double, take	+1.9996	+0.9972
3.	Double, pass	+1.0000	-0.0024
Proper cube action:		Too good to double, pass (0.2%)

It might be too good but I would have doubled out.

---

If White already has the cube, making the bar is stone cold:

The score is: White 5, Blue 3 (match to 7 points)

White	131
Blue	134
Position ID: 7MzBA0BsmxWAEQ Match ID: QQnlAFAAGAAE

• Blue moves 9/7 8/7

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	4	9/7 8/7	+1.0427
			0.7212 0.3002 0.0064 - 0.2788 0.0625 0.0032
	2	4	10/7	+0.9331 ( -0.1096)
			0.6795 0.2871 0.0063 - 0.3205 0.0759 0.0039
	3	4	9/6	+0.9059 ( -0.1368)
			0.6469 0.3060 0.0063 - 0.3531 0.0785 0.0038

---

After 21 9/6 and 52 bar/18 — this will probably roll out to a borderline take/pass:

The score is: White 5, Blue 3 (match to 7 points)

Move number 9: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	124
Blue	131
Position ID: 7MzBgwBsOxOAEQ Match ID: cAngAFAAGAAE

Messages In This Thread

• 21 to play
  onur alan -- Thursday, 21 November 2013, at 1:01 p.m.
  • 21 to play
    Stick -- Friday, 22 November 2013, at 9:03 p.m.
    • RO
      onur alan -- Saturday, 23 November 2013, at 12:35 p.m.
      • RO
        Smcrtorchs -- Saturday, 23 November 2013, at 2:30 p.m.
        • RO
          Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 23 November 2013, at 4:03 p.m.
          • RO - Rollout
            smcrtorchs -- Monday, 25 November 2013, at 6:22 p.m.