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Squint 131126 some RO

Posted By: svilo
Date: Wednesday, 27 November 2013, at 7:11 p.m.

In Response To: Squint 131126 (svilo)





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 137
7 point match
pip: 115
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---AbCBCB-B-a-a--a-cbb-baB:1:1:-1:53:1:0:0:7:3
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout18/3 6/3eq: +0.803
Player:
Opponent:		71.05% (G:48.00% B:1.65%)
28.95% (G:5.37% B:0.35%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.798...+0.807) - [57.6%]
Duration: 3 minutes 04 seconds
2.Rollout121/16 8/5eq: +0.802 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		71.61% (G:48.45% B:1.19%)
28.39% (G:7.55% B:1.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.798...+0.806) - [42.4%]
Duration: 3 minutes 07 seconds
3.XG Roller++21/13eq: +0.775 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		71.03% (G:46.73% B:1.13%)
28.97% (G:7.25% B:0.61%)
4.XG Roller++21/16 4/1eq: +0.759 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		70.28% (G:48.88% B:0.81%)
29.72% (G:9.09% B:1.39%)
5.XG Roller++21/16 11/8eq: +0.756 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		70.58% (G:45.80% B:1.12%)
29.42% (G:7.20% B:0.60%)
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red

The most urgent task for black is to exticate a checker. Now that he can make the important 3 point and subdue almmost all resistance, black is at a crossroad.
Which moves would you choose and why.
------

This is a "technical" postion. Black has an enormous advantage. He should extricate a checker ASAP. BECAUSE HE NEEDS 5s to extricate he should move the checkers that are 5 away from important targets (the 8 and the 6 checkers). He can only move the 8 checker safely - so 8/5. Making the 3 point gives a great suffocating power to black. A real pivot position. I liked _3 and thought it would bring more gammons, XG showed 16,5 and _3 equal. My opponent went in for the blitz! _1, 10

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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