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Pottles and fire dances RO
Posted By: svilo In Response To: fire dance (NESTINARSKI) (svilo)
Date: Wednesday, 27 November 2013, at 7:54 p.m.
White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 1127 point match pip: 138
score: 2
Blue is Player 1XGID=---A--DbCC---Ca--bbe-Aa-b-:0:0:1:51:2:1:0:7:10 Blue to play 51
1. Rollout1 21/16 6/5 eq: -0.401
Player:
Opponent:38.85% (G:4.78% B:0.21%)
61.15% (G:11.01% B:0.06%)Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.410...-0.392) - [99.6%]
Duration: 1 minute 03 seconds2. Rollout1 21/15 eq: -0.419 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:38.11% (G:4.32% B:0.20%)
61.89% (G:9.93% B:0.09%)Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.428...-0.409) - [0.4%]
Duration: 1 minute 03 seconds3. Rollout1 8/3 6/5 eq: -0.457 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:40.92% (G:7.46% B:0.44%)
59.08% (G:17.88% B:0.16%)Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.467...-0.448) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50.4 seconds4. XG Roller+ 9/3 eq: -0.479 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:40.07% (G:6.13% B:0.29%)
59.93% (G:16.43% B:0.12%)5. 3-ply 21/16 9/8 eq: -0.513 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:37.69% (G:3.24% B:0.14%)
62.31% (G:12.20% B:0.05%)1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red
Pottles and Fire dances...
Hanging on is a real fire on dance. One needs a very strong religious belief to do it...
(RPT) Race Position Threats. If the white backman was escaped, this would be a barpoint holding game with racing advantage and few threats 33,44 and 55 BUT POSITIONAL DISADVANTAGE for black. If white succeeds to build a prime before black is forced to split the bar, white may even have a double at the time of split.
Hardly so
Most probably he will need to hit, but what a change from the present UTG situation with 13 black army for the blitz and the 7 and 8 point checkers activated.
Whch pottle? XG tells me the 16pt WITH A SLOT although 16 is 6 away from 3 for hit-and cover. After Pottle the building tasks take priority!
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
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