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How do you choose the 3? - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Carlo Melzi
Date: Wednesday, 4 December 2013, at 6:15 p.m.

In Response To: How do you choose the 3? (Carlo Melzi)

Well, the position is much less interesting than I thought. I actually miscounted the rolls that hit.

FWIW, here are the rollout results:





White is ricedice

score: 206
pip: 116
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 130
score: 207

Blue is melzi
XGID=--BCBBBc--------b-AbcbcC--:1:-1:1:63:207:206:3:0:10
Blue to play 63

1.Rollout123/14eq: -0,850
Player:
Opponent:		30,83% (G:8,60% B:0,24%)
69,17% (G:22,11% B:0,97%)		Conf.: ± 0,015 (-0,865...-0,835) - [100,0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 16 seconds
2.Rollout123/17 18/15eq: -0,966 (-0,116)
Player:
Opponent:		29,52% (G:7,97% B:0,23%)
70,48% (G:23,56% B:1,07%)		Conf.: ± 0,015 (-0,981...-0,952) - [0,0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 29 seconds
3.2-ply18/9eq: -1,000 (-0,150)
Player:
Opponent:		22,24% (G:4,05% B:0,09%)
77,76% (G:20,31% B:0,78%)
4.1-ply23/17 4/1eq: -1,025 (-0,174)
Player:
Opponent:		21,67% (G:6,21% B:0,18%)
78,33% (G:31,31% B:1,93%)
5.1-ply23/17 5/2eq: -1,029 (-0,179)
Player:
Opponent:		20,91% (G:5,17% B:0,15%)
79,09% (G:29,75% B:1,81%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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