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51S-54R-31P-63R-41 — No Jacoby, No Beavers — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 29 December 2013, at 5:59 p.m.

In Response To: 51S-54R-31P-63R-41 2k RO (onur alan)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Unlimited Game
pip: 157
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----BD-C-b-eD---c-e---AA-:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout123/22 13/9eq: -0.1668
Player:
Opponent:		44.74% (G:11.86% B:0.36%)
55.26% (G:9.61% B:0.36%)		Conf.: ±0.0019 (-0.1687...-0.1650) - [99.5%]
Duration: 7 hours 06 minutes
2.Rollout123/22 8/4eq: -0.1703 (-0.0035)
Player:
Opponent:		44.53% (G:12.39% B:0.36%)
55.47% (G:9.98% B:0.37%)		Conf.: ±0.0019 (-0.1722...-0.1684) - [0.5%]
Duration: 6 hours 38 minutes
3.Rollout28/4 6/5eq: -0.1817 (-0.0149)
Player:
Opponent:		44.22% (G:11.59% B:0.35%)
55.78% (G:9.04% B:0.34%)		Conf.: ±0.0027 (-0.1844...-0.1790) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 26 minutes
4.Rollout213/9 6/5eq: -0.1848 (-0.0180)
Player:
Opponent:		44.23% (G:11.20% B:0.32%)
55.77% (G:8.79% B:0.33%)		Conf.: ±0.0026 (-0.1874...-0.1823) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 23 minutes
5.Rollout313/9 8/7eq: -0.1961 (-0.0292)
Player:
Opponent:		43.98% (G:11.18% B:0.32%)
56.02% (G:9.02% B:0.36%)		Conf.: ±0.0036 (-0.1997...-0.1924) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 46 minutes
6.Rollout48/4 5/4eq: -0.2057 (-0.0389)
Player:
Opponent:		43.52% (G:11.37% B:0.35%)
56.48% (G:9.32% B:0.38%)		Conf.: ±0.0050 (-0.2107...-0.2007) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 59 seconds
7.Rollout513/8eq: -0.2240 (-0.0571)
Player:
Opponent:		43.43% (G:10.08% B:0.28%)
56.57% (G:8.84% B:0.32%)		Conf.: ±0.0061 (-0.2301...-0.2178) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 47 seconds
8.Rollout524/20 6/5eq: -0.2269 (-0.0600)
Player:
Opponent:		43.30% (G:9.65% B:0.29%)
56.70% (G:8.63% B:0.28%)		Conf.: ±0.0063 (-0.2332...-0.2205) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 07 seconds
 
1 62208 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 25957710
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 25957710
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 25957710
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

4 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 25957710
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

5 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 25957710
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Dec-23
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658
51S-54R-31P-63R-41-n-tm.xgp
n[S C3 A15 N18 d29 A39 D57 E60] "<=62*31*7 5
n[S C8 A15 N17 d27 A45 D53 E61 a61 B66 O67] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

51S-54R-31P-63R-41 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 1.02 2-ply trunc 730090925 –142.969 n[S C4 A15 N16 d28 A47 D54 E63 O65 B67] '/0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] –144.9 n[S C8 A15 N17 d27 A45 D53 E61 a61 B66 O67] "&e Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 25957710 –166.8 n[S C3 A15 N18 d29 A39 D57 E60] "<=62*31*15 7 5 Taper_Mike (above)
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 77974699 –168.4 n[S s6 N10 A11 d31 E49 B52] "<=2 Onur Alan

Key: A = Attack [8/4, 6/5], a = attack [8/3], A = Attack [8/4, 5/4], B = Both [24/20, 8/7], C = Cross [23/22, 8/4],
D = Down [13/8], d = down [13/9, 8/7], E = Each [24/20, 6/5], N = Near [13/9, 6/5], O = Outer [8/7, 8/4],
S = Split = Z = Reverse split [23/22, 13/9], s = split = z = reverse split [24/23, 13/9]

Explanation of nacbracs

Don’t Make the 23pt!

In the 2k rollout by Onur, s = 24/23 13/9 came in 2nd, but looks out of place. In my longer rollout, I did not roll it out, because XGR++ puts it in 17th place, trailing by 0.11.

The play that was 2nd my rollout, C = 23/22 8/4, was not included in Onur’s rollout.

Mike

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