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Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Tuesday, 7 January 2014, at 12:29 a.m.

In Response To: Petko vs Paul Checker Play (Paul Weaver)

Let's compare the best splitting play (22/16 9/7) to the best non-splitting play (11/3). Splitting not only wins more games (21% vs 20%), but it also wins more gammons (2.6% vs 2.1%).





White is Paul

score: 8
pip: 116
9 point match
pip: 157
score: 2

Blue is Petko
XGID=----BBCA-A-AbBb--cbbbbB-A-:1:-1:1:62:2:8:0:9:10
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout122/16 9/7eq: -0.548
Player:
Opponent:
20.72% (G:2.55% B:0.10%)
79.28% (G:35.75% B:4.20%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.550...-0.546) - [100.0%]
Duration: 42 minutes 49 seconds
2.Rollout122/16 11/9eq: -0.562 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
20.19% (G:2.37% B:0.08%)
79.81% (G:36.77% B:4.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.564...-0.560) - [0.0%]
Duration: 40 minutes 00 second
3.Rollout122/16 6/4eq: -0.571 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
19.69% (G:2.40% B:0.08%)
80.31% (G:38.43% B:4.13%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.573...-0.569) - [0.0%]
Duration: 39 minutes 33 seconds
4.Rollout111/3eq: -0.572 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
19.87% (G:2.08% B:0.07%)
80.13% (G:27.02% B:1.98%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.574...-0.570) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 49 seconds
5.Rollout211/5 9/7eq: -0.576 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:
19.72% (G:2.04% B:0.07%)
80.28% (G:27.63% B:1.73%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.578...-0.574) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 27 seconds
6.Rollout122/16 7/5eq: -0.578 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
19.35% (G:2.37% B:0.08%)
80.65% (G:37.60% B:3.88%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.580...-0.576) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 23 seconds
7.Rollout124/16eq: -0.596 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
19.00% (G:1.67% B:0.06%)
81.00% (G:20.58% B:0.79%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.597...-0.594) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 32 seconds
1 9474 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 9475 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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