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BGonline.org Forums
A cube action + 5-4 to play
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: A cube action + 5-4 to play (greedygammon)
Date: Sunday, 12 January 2014, at 4:43 a.m.
The trap play is seldom, if ever, correct against a 4-point board for money. The 2-cube gammon value for the trailer at 3a-2a is right around the normal 1/2 so 13/4 with the 54.
At 4a-2a? The gv is 1.0 so the question is "Does the trap play give you more extra g's or more extra losses?" I think the answer is more extra losses so I'd play 13/4. I'd go for it if Blue had more checkers farther back on White's side of the board, but not here. With checkers further back, you can wait several rolls for White to roll an anchor-breaking 6. Here you have no time to wait.
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