This is a fiftyfifty double decision.
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 125  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 142 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=aBCBCAbBbbeBab:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  68.24% (G:16.09% B:0.54%)  68.26% (G:17.34% B:0.61%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  31.76% (G:6.05% B:0.19%)  31.74% (G:6.17% B:0.21%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.469  +0.962 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.726  ±0.002 (+0.724..+0.728) 
Double/Take:  +0.726 (0.000)  ±0.003 (+0.723..+0.729) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 (+0.274) 

Best Cube action: No double / Take 
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.0% 
Rollout details 
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 401243 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Double Decision confidence:  52.2% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 6 hours 01 minute 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Now some variants:
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 125  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 141 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=aBCBCAbBbbeBab:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  69.75% (G:16.30% B:0.53%)  69.99% (G:17.08% B:0.63%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  30.25% (G:5.86% B:0.18%)  30.01% (G:6.00% B:0.21%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.503  +1.029 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.784 (0.026)  ±0.007 (+0.777..+0.790) 
Double/Take:  +0.810  ±0.009 (+0.801..+0.819) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 (+0.190) 

Best Cube action: Double / Take 
Rollout details 
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 401243 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 21 minutes 00 second 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 123  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 142 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=aBCBCAbBbbdBbb:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  64.76% (G:13.36% B:0.40%)  65.07% (G:13.79% B:0.43%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  35.24% (G:6.55% B:0.18%)  34.93% (G:6.40% B:0.21%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.366  +0.755 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.569  ±0.012 (+0.557..+0.581) 
Double/Take:  +0.491 (0.078)  ±0.015 (+0.475..+0.506) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 (+0.431) 

Best Cube action: No double / Take 
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.3% 
Rollout details 
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 13905256 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 5 minutes 33 seconds 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 123  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 141 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=aBCBCAbBbbdBbb:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  65.87% (G:13.69% B:0.38%)  66.11% (G:14.54% B:0.43%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  34.13% (G:6.52% B:0.17%)  33.89% (G:6.67% B:0.19%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.391  +0.807 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.615  ±0.012 (+0.603..+0.627) 
Double/Take:  +0.555 (0.059)  ±0.016 (+0.539..+0.572) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 (+0.385) 

Best Cube action: No double / Take 
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.8% 
Rollout details 
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 13905256 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 5 minutes 30 seconds 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Finally, a variant Nack mentioned. Switching white's three point to the two point is sufficient to warrant a double.
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 123  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 142 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=aBCBCAbBbbeBab:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  69.08% (G:16.34% B:0.55%)  69.29% (G:17.49% B:0.62%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  30.92% (G:5.76% B:0.16%)  30.71% (G:5.94% B:0.18%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.491  +1.011 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.752 (0.029)  ±0.008 (+0.744..+0.760) 
Double/Take:  +0.781  ±0.011 (+0.770..+0.793) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 (+0.219) 

Best Cube action: Double / Take 
Rollout details 
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 67781547 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 10 minutes 17 seconds 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10