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52S-33A-F-C – Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 1:24 p.m.

In Response To: 52S-33A-F-C - XG 4ply/XGR+ Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 163 Unlimited Game Jacoby pip: 155 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-B-BC-A---dE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	66.516% (G:27.639% B:1.246%)	66.566% (G:28.876% B:1.263%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	33.484% (G:7.492% B:0.335%)	33.434% (G:7.837% B:0.380%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5409	+1.1011
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.7752 (-0.0681)	±0.0071 (+0.7680..+0.7823)
Double/Take:	+0.8432	±0.0092 (+0.8340..+0.8524)
Double/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.1568)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 48255426 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 29 minutes 41 seconds

Rollout by Igor Erovenko 2013-Mar-03 eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10 52S-33A-F-C-j-ie.xgp [D 843-68] "<=5

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Igor has two rollouts of this position. This one he named 52S-33A-F-C. Because he used the same seed for each one, the results are almost identical. The only dicrepency is a 0.0001 difference that I believe is caused by vagaries in the calculation of variance reduction. Or is it due to slight variations the timings of multithreaded rollouts? Hmm...

Either way, this rollout and the following one are duplicates that should not be combined.

If this duplicate post does nothing else, at least it gets the alternate move sequence into the subject. That will aid future searching.

Mike

Messages In This Thread

• 52S-33A-F-C?
  Stick -- Sunday, 24 September 2006, at 5:34 p.m.
  • Re: Reinventing the wheel with cube action
    rew -- Sunday, 24 September 2006, at 8:53 p.m.
    • Re: Reinventing the wheel with cube action
      Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 25 September 2006, at 11:52 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Wednesday, 27 September 2006, at 4:31 a.m.
    • Re: Snowie Rollout
      rew -- Wednesday, 27 September 2006, at 2:18 p.m.
      • Snowie or XG1?
        Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 1:42 p.m.
  • 52S-33A-F-C - XG 4ply/XGR+ Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 2:16 a.m.
    • 54S-33A-F-C – Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 12:55 p.m.
    • 52S-33A-F-C – Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 1:24 p.m.
    • 54S-33A-F-C – Unlimited Games – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 2:13 p.m.
    • 52S-33A-F-C — 54S-33A-F-C — Index to Rollouts
      Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 6:20 p.m.