I did not make an early blot play. I think either would be hard to find over the board. What interests me is that the top play gives up 0.61% winning chances and 2.08% gammons to win an extra 3.39% backgammons. Obviously the best play will vary with the match score.
PS I won a backgammon anyway!
       
 
           
 | | White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 210 | | 7 point match | pip: 53
score: 4
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=bCdBCDB-----a----cad------:0:0:1:43:4:1:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 43 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/3 4/Off | eq: +1.549 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 79.67% (G:70.11% B:15.73%)
20.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+1.535...+1.564) - [96.5%]
Duration: 1 hour 22 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/3 5/1 | eq: +1.531 (-0.018) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 80.28% (G:72.19% B:12.34%)
19.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (+1.519...+1.544) - [3.5%]
Duration: 1 hour 10 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 5/1 4/1 | eq: +1.451 (-0.099) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 77.85% (G:70.48% B:12.32%)
22.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (+1.433...+1.469) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 18 minutes |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2