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Bearoff vs. 3 on the ace & vs. 2 closed out + 1

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 29 March 2014, at 8:00 p.m.

In Response To: Bearoff vs. 3 on the ace & vs. 2 closed out + 1 (Daniel Murphy)

I thought this might be more interesting/relevant.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 72
Unlimited Game
pip: 64
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-cBBDDC-------------------:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 68.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 31.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.379 +0.747
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.693±0.015 (+0.678..+0.708)
Redouble/Take:+0.553 (-0.140)±0.024 (+0.529..+0.577)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.307)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 23.8%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 24011766
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 6 minutes 26 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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