BGonline.org Forums

Safe or not?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 22 April 2014, at 1:50 p.m.

Ref http://www.bgonline.org/forums/webbbs_config.pl?noframes;read=159432 for the original Dk. vs. World 2014 position and variants and rollouts at 7a2a w/centered cube.

Money games.

Sandwich	32
Hero	57
Position ID: HQAA0G7bBQAAAA Match ID: UYkEAFAAAAAE

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	7/6 2/off 1/off	-0.0408
			0.4027 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.5973 0.0000 0.0000 -0.1946 -0.0408 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 0.0021 0.0037
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 712802128 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	7/4 1/off	-0.0637 ( -0.0229)
			0.3925 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.6075 0.0000 0.0000 -0.2150 -0.0637 0.0009 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0009 0.0000 0.0000 0.0019 0.0035
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 712802128 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	7/5 2/off	-0.0926 ( -0.0519)
			0.3878 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.6122 0.0000 0.0000 -0.2244 -0.0926 0.0008 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0008 0.0000 0.0000 0.0016 0.0028
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 712802128 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Sandwich	34
Hero	57
Position ID: PQAAoN22CwAAAA Match ID: UYkEAFAAAAAE

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.019)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	7/6 2/off 1/off	+0.1916
			0.4930 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.5070 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0140 +0.1916 0.0010 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0010 0.0000 0.0000 0.0020 0.0035
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 712802128 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	7/5 2/off	+0.1724 ( -0.0192)
			0.4894 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.5106 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0212 +0.1724 0.0008 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0008 0.0000 0.0000 0.0016 0.0027
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 712802128 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	7/4 1/off	+0.1579 ( -0.0337)
			0.4814 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.5186 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0372 +0.1579 0.0009 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0009 0.0000 0.0000 0.0018 0.0031
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 712802128 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Sandwich	36
Hero	57
Position ID: fQAAQLttFwAAAA Match ID: UYkEAFAAAAAE

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	7/5 2/off	+0.3905
			0.5816 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.4184 0.0000 0.0000 +0.1631 +0.3905 0.0007 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0007 0.0000 0.0000 0.0013 0.0023
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 712802128 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	7/6 2/off 1/off	+0.3428 ( -0.0478)
			0.5591 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.4409 0.0000 0.0000 +0.1182 +0.3428 0.0009 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0009 0.0000 0.0000 0.0017 0.0030
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 712802128 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	7/4 1/off	+0.3045 ( -0.0860)
			0.5459 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.4541 0.0000 0.0000 +0.0917 +0.3045 0.0008 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0008 0.0000 0.0000 0.0017 0.0027
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 712802128 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]