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OLM 20140506B The Prime Factors

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Wednesday, 7 May 2014, at 9:52 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20140506B The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)

 White is The Dilly Builders score: 2 pip: 153 9 point match pip: 115 score: 4 Blue is The Prime Factors
XGID=-a-a--EBC---bC-----bcbbBb-:1:1:-1:63:2:4:0:9:10
Blue to play 63

### R (Run) = 22/13

This is another position where I am not sure what is best.

The simple running play, R = 22/13, is what I saw first. It buys us some time, is relatively safe for the moment, and will make it hard for the Dillies to play safely in their inner board. What it won’t do is stop the Dillies from bringing builders down to their outer board or move our checker on the 24pt into escape position.

Is that enough reason to try the aggressive R = 24/21, 22/16? I thought of Robertie’s concept of connectedness when I saw this alternative. On the upside, it keeps our runners within direct range of each other, and brings the rear checker up to the best possible escape position. It also duplicates 4, but if the Dillies roll a 42, 43, 44, or 45, they will have the option of hitting twice.

Another candidate is r = 24/15. It is somewhat safer than R in that it leaves fewer (and less attractive) double hit numbers, but it fails to keep our runners connected, and leaves the back checker in a more difficult escape position.

There is also the matter of POH numbers. On the 21pt, there are 9; on the 22pt, 10. By staying back on the 24pt we risk few or none. In addition, we may freeze the checkers the Dillies have on their 7pt.

Because I am unsure, I will stay away from my “creative” play.

Mike

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