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Rollout from Chou action - Repost

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 16 January 2007, at 9:20 a.m.

I was the box and there were at this time 4 ppl in the chouette. All 3 of them tossed this cube over like I was getting out of my chair. I looked for a minute, then scooped them all up. This is when the "Do you even know how to use Snowie!?" *discussion* arose. The same guy got on my case assuring me this was a 'dead drop'. Luckily for me I had my laptop there and after I won the game I showed him what a 'dead drop' it was.

For those of you who dropped this why did you drop?

Money Game
Blue on roll. Cube Action?
93
127
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.368
0.4% 10.3% 68.0% 32.0% 9.6% 0.4%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.368 ±0.011, - live cube no double: 0.566 ±0.019, - live cube double take: 0.547 ±0.029. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 47430 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, seed 1, with race database.
Evaluations
1. No double 0.547
2. Double, take 0.505 (-0.042)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.453)
Proper cube action: No double, take8%
Live cube
1. No double 0.566
2. Double, take 0.547 (-0.019)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.434)
Proper cube action: No double, take4%

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