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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout from OLM past - Dec. 12th
Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 16 January 2007, at 9:25 a.m.
If you remember nobody considered the 19/18 play and it is even closer than the initial rollout showed. Thought I'd repost simply because I finally finished a few of the rollouts to my satisfaction. The only reason 19/18 isn't correct is because of the extra Gs lost ... which seems basically insignificant here.
Match to 25, tied at 244 164 Board image courtesy of GO-Figure
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 9/8 7/6 6/5(2) -1.059 0.0% 1.9% 25.9% 74.1% 67.5% 0.1% 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -1.138 ±0.004. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 341793 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database. 2 R 19/18 7/6 6/5(2) -1.061 (-0.002) 0.0% 1.9% 26.2% 73.8% 68.4% 0.1% 95% confidence interval - money cubeless eq.: -1.140 ±0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 162065 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
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