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DQ: Three reasonable plays. Missed double.

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Monday, 14 July 2014, at 4:36 p.m.

In Response To: DQ: Three reasonable plays (leobueno)

Rollout says should have been a double.





White is eXtremeGammon

score: 0
pip: 115
Unlimited Game
pip: 81
score: 1

Blue is Leo
XGID=--DACbB-C--Bb-----abcbab--:0:0:1:00:1:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.15% (G:2.64% B:0.05%) 68.48% (G:2.33% B:0.04%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.85% (G:3.48% B:0.11%) 31.52% (G:3.52% B:0.12%)
Cubeless Equities +0.354 +0.714
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.554 (-0.046)±0.005 (+0.549..+0.559)
Double/Take:+0.600±0.008 (+0.592..+0.609)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.400)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 24 minutes 33 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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