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World Championship Final Rollout

Posted By: Chris Bray
Date: Thursday, 14 August 2014, at 7:53 a.m.

is Player 2

score: 7
pip: 107
21 point match
pip: 79
score: 9

is Player 1
XGID=-bDBCBC--a---------bbcabbA:0:0:1:00:9:7:0:21:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.64% (G:21.34% B:2.06%) 60.52% (G:21.30% B:2.15%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.36% (G:1.21% B:0.02%) 39.48% (G:1.21% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities +0.446 +0.898
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.493 (-0.086)±0.008 (+0.485..+0.501)
Double/Take:+0.579±0.012 (+0.566..+0.591)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.421)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 10 minutes 15 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

This is the position I posted in my note on books on doubling. As you can see it is a clear double and a trivial take. Akiko doubled, Doug dropped!

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