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DQ: Three plausible plays *RollOut* Inconclusive

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Monday, 18 August 2014, at 11:18 a.m.

In Response To: DQ: Three plausible plays (leobueno)

If you think this is an interesting position and you have a fast PC, please roll out the two candidates.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 126
5 point match
pip: 162
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----BC-Bb--bE-Bad-c--cA--:0:0:1:53:2:0:0:5:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout123/15eq: -0.600
Player:
Opponent:
29.78% (G:2.88% B:0.15%)
70.22% (G:3.79% B:0.06%)
Conf.: 0.010 (-0.610...-0.591) - [83.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes
2.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: -0.607 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
38.56% (G:8.19% B:0.54%)
61.44% (G:19.76% B:0.32%)
Conf.: 0.009 (-0.616...-0.598) - [17.0%]
Duration: 56 minutes 22 seconds
3.Rollout213/5eq: -0.630 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
37.89% (G:8.09% B:0.50%)
62.11% (G:19.52% B:0.32%)
Conf.: 0.011 (-0.641...-0.619) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 29 seconds
4.Rollout223/20 13/8eq: -0.646 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:
35.45% (G:5.80% B:0.59%)
64.55% (G:15.35% B:0.19%)
Conf.: 0.013 (-0.659...-0.632) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 29 seconds
5.Rollout38/3 6/3eq: -0.705 (-0.105)
Player:
Opponent:
36.97% (G:7.77% B:1.07%)
63.03% (G:20.37% B:0.32%)
Conf.: 0.019 (-0.723...-0.686) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 28 seconds
6.Rollout313/8 6/3eq: -0.752 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:
36.39% (G:7.55% B:0.95%)
63.61% (G:20.65% B:0.41%)
Conf.: 0.019 (-0.770...-0.733) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 53 seconds
7.XG Roller++23/18 13/10eq: -0.810 (-0.210)
Player:
Opponent:
30.93% (G:4.20% B:0.15%)
69.07% (G:14.34% B:0.21%)
8.XG Roller++23/18 8/5eq: -0.842 (-0.241)
Player:
Opponent:
29.85% (G:3.97% B:0.14%)
70.15% (G:13.29% B:0.20%)
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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