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OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Monday, 8 September 2014, at 3:04 a.m.

In Response To: 52S-11E-64@-44 (John O'Hagan)

OTB, I chose a weak play: Resplitting out to the 18 along with 13/9(3). The back men are fine where they are so there's no need to resplit. Better to make the 9 and then decide on the other half of the move. Making the 4 is slightly better than reinforcing the 9 and starting the 4. The strong board will be great for you if Black rolls poorly and is forced to leave a shot. Leaving an ace shot isn't very risky. Black shouldn't hit with some aces since his board is wide open and hitting means abandoning his anchor.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-----BCbC---dE---d-e--A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
to play 44

1.Rollout113/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.045
Player:
Opponent:
50.57% (G:14.61% B:0.43%)
49.43% (G:10.23% B:0.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.035...+0.055) - [99.5%]
Duration: 34 minutes 50 seconds
2.Rollout113/9(3) 8/4eq: +0.027 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:
50.41% (G:13.64% B:0.43%)
49.59% (G:10.44% B:0.37%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.018...+0.037) - [0.5%]
Duration: 32 minutes 54 seconds
3.Rollout113/9(2) 13/5eq: +0.018 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:
50.40% (G:12.18% B:0.38%)
49.60% (G:9.80% B:0.29%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.008...+0.027) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 52 seconds
4.Rollout213/5 8/4(2)eq: -0.002 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
49.16% (G:14.62% B:0.43%)
50.84% (G:10.92% B:0.42%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.016...+0.012) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 03 seconds
5.Rollout222/18 13/9(3)eq: -0.025 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:
49.49% (G:9.68% B:0.32%)
50.51% (G:9.38% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.038...-0.012) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 54 seconds
6.Rollout222/6eq: -0.056 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:
48.90% (G:7.75% B:0.25%)
51.10% (G:8.53% B:0.18%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.068...-0.044) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 11 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

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