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**ROLLOUT**

Posted By: Michael Depreli
Date: Saturday, 11 October 2014, at 10:12 a.m.

In Response To: Should I have wasted so much clock time on this recube decision? (Michael Depreli)

XGR++ thinks this is a borderline NO Redouble 0.816/0.809





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 169
7 point match
pip: 95
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBBBCBB----b--AbbbbbA----:1:1:1:00:1:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.06% (G:39.39% B:5.66%) 61.76% (G:38.89% B:21.37%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.94% (G:3.21% B:0.12%) 38.24% (G:2.33% B:0.08%)
Cubeless Equities +0.736 +1.006
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.772±0.006 (+0.765..+0.778)
Redouble/Take:+0.632 (-0.140)±0.014 (+0.618..+0.645)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.228)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 27.5%
Rollout details
2936 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 4 moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Search interval: Large
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 36 minutes 03 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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