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Ain't she sweet CENTERED

Posted By: svilo
Date: Sunday, 8 March 2015, at 6:01 p.m.

In Response To: Ain't she sweet (svilo)

I could have had this wrong, but XG supports my plead "not guilty". I reasoned it was easier for me to disengage than for him to enter and hit without retaliation. So I had the strong double practically "in my pocket". In the other cases I would improve and play on for gammon. Remembering Kit's "every roll is a cube decision" - easier said than done.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 160
9 point match
pip: 128
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--BBBC--c--cD--AbAd-b----:0:0:1:00:0:1:0:9:3
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.38% (G:39.38% B:0.56%) 75.07% (G:40.23% B:0.61%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.62% (G:4.74% B:0.26%) 24.93% (G:4.88% B:0.38%)
Cubeless Equities +0.837 +1.797
Cubeful Equities
No double:+1.055±0.010 (+1.045..+1.065)
Double/Take:+1.619 (+0.564)±0.019 (+1.600..+1.637)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.055)
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 8.9%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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