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XG 3-ply blunder at DMP
Posted By: Joe Russell In Response To: XG 3-ply blunder at DMP (Timothy Chow)
Date: Friday, 19 June 2015, at 11:56 p.m.
Great problem! At DMP, 23-16 seems like a strong candidate, but it leaves 20 good to great numbers. White does not have any disaster rolls coming up (4-4, 4-3, and 3-3 all play reasonably well), but if she does not roll an immediate 5 or 6, we will be in great shape and 6-1, 6-3, and 6-4 leave direct shots, while 6-6 leaves an awkward bear-in.
I would not play 21, 5*, as it gives white too many chances to pound on blue on both sides of the board and consolidate her position.
I could see 10-5*, 5-3 as being a contender as we may be able to contain white and make her crack her prime, especially if she roll one of her 4 bad sixes from the bar.
10-5, 7-5 is also interesting. It gives white some very bad numbers from the bar (1-5 and 4-5), but the 16 hitting numbers from the bar may be too rich. Then again, it is very strong when white does not hit. Hmm.
Great problem, thanks!
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