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OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Sunday, 30 August 2015, at 9:54 p.m.

In Response To: 53 for White (John O'Hagan)

XGR+ made the correct play here which really suprised me. I would've PoH in an instant in White's position. Looking at wins and gammons, you can see why the quiet anchoring play is correct. There's a good trade between wins and net gammon losses: 0.5% fewer wins but over 3% fewer net gammon losses. I guess a few too many things can go wrong if you point: There's the 3 joker doubles plus 64, the anchoring 43 and 32 followed by something bad for you, the in and hit loose numbers + a fan or bad entering number by you. Apparently the loss from these bad sequences outweighs the gain from the good ones.

A very tough play to find OTB.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 165
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-a---aD-C-B-cD---cbcbA--A-:0:0:1:35:0:0:3:0:10
to play 35

1.Rollout124/21 13/8eq: -0.203
Player:
Opponent:
43.89% (G:7.43% B:0.23%)
56.11% (G:8.39% B:0.29%)
Conf.: 0.014 (-0.217...-0.190) - [100.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 26 seconds
2.Rollout110/5* 8/5eq: -0.240 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:
44.35% (G:12.84% B:0.58%)
55.65% (G:16.94% B:0.95%)
Conf.: 0.015 (-0.255...-0.225) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 04 seconds
3.4-ply24/21 6/1* eq: -0.368 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:
39.63% (G:6.92% B:0.15%)
60.37% (G:12.51% B:0.46%)
4.3-ply24/21 8/3eq: -0.372 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:
39.66% (G:7.08% B:0.23%)
60.34% (G:12.61% B:0.45%)
5.3-ply24/21 10/5* eq: -0.425 (-0.221)
Player:
Opponent:
39.55% (G:7.96% B:0.27%)
60.45% (G:15.55% B:0.58%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

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