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OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Sunday, 30 August 2015, at 9:54 p.m.

In Response To: 53 for White (John O'Hagan)

XGR+ made the correct play here which really suprised me. I would've PoH in an instant in White's position. Looking at wins and gammons, you can see why the quiet anchoring play is correct. There's a good trade between wins and net gammon losses: 0.5% fewer wins but over 3% fewer net gammon losses. I guess a few too many things can go wrong if you point: There's the 3 joker doubles plus 64, the anchoring 43 and 32 followed by something bad for you, the in and hit loose numbers + a fan or bad entering number by you. Apparently the loss from these bad sequences outweighs the gain from the good ones.

A very tough play to find OTB.

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 149 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 165 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=-a---aD-C-B-cD---cbcbA--A-:0:0:1:35:0:0:3:0:10
to play 35

1.	Rollout1	24/21 13/8	eq: -0.203
	Player: Opponent: 43.89% (G:7.43% B:0.23%) 56.11% (G:8.39% B:0.29%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.217...-0.190) - [100.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 26 seconds
2.	Rollout1	10/5* 8/5	eq: -0.240 (-0.037)
	Player: Opponent: 44.35% (G:12.84% B:0.58%) 55.65% (G:16.94% B:0.95%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.255...-0.225) - [0.0%] Duration: 19 minutes 04 seconds
3.	4-ply	24/21 6/1*	eq: -0.368 (-0.164)
	Player: Opponent: 39.63% (G:6.92% B:0.15%) 60.37% (G:12.51% B:0.46%)
4.	3-ply	24/21 8/3	eq: -0.372 (-0.169)
	Player: Opponent: 39.66% (G:7.08% B:0.23%) 60.34% (G:12.61% B:0.45%)
5.	3-ply	24/21 10/5*	eq: -0.425 (-0.221)
	Player: Opponent: 39.55% (G:7.96% B:0.27%) 60.45% (G:15.55% B:0.58%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

Messages In This Thread

• 53 for White
  John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 29 August 2015, at 7:50 p.m.
  • 53 for White
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 29 August 2015, at 8:39 p.m.
  • 53 for White
    Sean Garber -- Saturday, 29 August 2015, at 9:05 p.m.
  • 53 for White
    Grigorij Liev -- Saturday, 29 August 2015, at 9:15 p.m.
    • 53 for White
      Sean Garber -- Sunday, 30 August 2015, at 6:42 a.m.
  • 53 for White
    Stick -- Saturday, 29 August 2015, at 11:22 p.m.
  • 53 for White
    Chase -- Sunday, 30 August 2015, at 12:08 a.m.
  • OTB & RO
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 30 August 2015, at 9:54 p.m.
    • Variant (1 pip different)
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 31 August 2015, at 1:27 a.m.
      • Variant (1 pip different)
        neilkaz -- Monday, 31 August 2015, at 1:58 a.m.
        • Variant (1 pip different)
          Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 31 August 2015, at 3:07 a.m.
        • Variant (1 pip different)
          Nack Ballard -- Monday, 31 August 2015, at 4:40 a.m.
          • 7pt+5pt variant, and comparisons
            Nack Ballard -- Monday, 31 August 2015, at 4:01 p.m.
    • 5 K RO
      John O'Hagan -- Monday, 31 August 2015, at 4:33 p.m.
      • 5 K RO
        Nack Ballard -- Monday, 31 August 2015, at 5:58 p.m.