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Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 8 September 2015, at 10:02 a.m.

In Response To: *Rollout* 32 to play at DMP (Chase)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
1 point match
pip: 159
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----B-DbBa--cEa--c-d-A--aA:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:1:10

Blue to play 32


1.Rollout1Bar/22 13/11eq: -0.048
Player:
Opponent:
47.61% (G:12.10% B:1.43%)
52.39% (G:14.06% B:0.79%)
Conf.: กำ 0.002 (-0.050...-0.046) - [99.8%]
Duration: 4 hours 21 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/23 13/10eq: -0.052 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
47.42% (G:12.81% B:1.31%)
52.58% (G:14.22% B:0.80%)
Conf.: กำ 0.002 (-0.053...-0.050) - [0.2%]
Duration: 4 hours 21 minutes
3.Rollout2Bar/22 6/4eq: -0.060 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
46.99% (G:11.45% B:1.26%)
53.01% (G:12.74% B:0.58%)
Conf.: กำ 0.002 (-0.063...-0.058) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 49 minutes
4.Rollout2Bar/23 6/3eq: -0.062 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
46.89% (G:12.71% B:1.41%)
53.11% (G:15.22% B:0.85%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (-0.065...-0.060) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 46 minutes
5.Rollout2Bar/20eq: -0.065 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
46.75% (G:11.06% B:1.18%)
53.25% (G:13.07% B:0.67%)
Conf.: กำ 0.002 (-0.068...-0.063) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 50 minutes
 
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

As Stick alludes to, the swing at DMP is bigger than it looks. (I think more than twice as big, compared to money.)

Above is my rollout of the variant position (Blue's pipcount is 1 different.)

Below is Chase's rollout of the original position.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
1 point match
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----CCbBa--cEa--c-d-A--aA:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:1:10

Blue to play 32


1.Rollout1Bar/23 13/10eq: -0.034
Player:
Opponent:
48.29% (G:12.86% B:1.28%)
51.71% (G:13.83% B:0.68%)
Conf.: � 0.002 (-0.036...-0.032) - [100.0%]
Duration: 40 minutes 46 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/22 13/11eq: -0.039 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
48.05% (G:12.13% B:1.31%)
51.95% (G:12.67% B:0.70%)
Conf.: � 0.002 (-0.041...-0.037) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41 minutes 13 seconds
3.Rollout2Bar/22 6/4eq: -0.041 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
47.95% (G:11.88% B:1.28%)
52.05% (G:13.06% B:0.76%)
Conf.: � 0.003 (-0.043...-0.038) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 08 seconds
4.Rollout2Bar/22 5/3eq: -0.044 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
47.78% (G:11.32% B:1.18%)
52.22% (G:11.82% B:0.60%)
Conf.: � 0.002 (-0.047...-0.042) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 10 seconds
5.Rollout2Bar/20eq: -0.054 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
47.30% (G:10.96% B:1.22%)
52.70% (G:11.90% B:0.49%)
Conf.: � 0.002 (-0.056...-0.052) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 40 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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