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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: 62S-11N-F-C? (Stick)
Date: Saturday, 21 October 2006, at 11:55 a.m.
A little short on the trials, I forgot to lengthen this rollout til I opened it up but thought I'd post it anyway as it gives a good idea of how close to a double this is. Just a couple rolls in and you've got a very solid position, favored to complete your 4 prime before your opponent can get back on his feet. I have always doubled this position [and will continue to usually esp. against weaker players] The position isn't highly volatile but blue has a lot of good numbers here, from simply covering the back of his prime and splitting his back men to hitting the flyer with a 6-4. White has a lot of long term counterplay which most of you would realize and take before the cube hit the board.
Money Game
Cube Action?166 163 Board image courtesy of GO-Figure
Cube action equity Rollout Money equity: 0.451 1.3% 21.9% 65.2% 34.8% 8.2% 0.3% 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.451 ±0.012. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 40396 games), played 3-ply (precise), seed 1, with race database. 1. No double 0.659 2. Double, take 0.648 (-0.011) 3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.341) Proper cube action: No double, take 3%
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