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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 12 October 2015, at 7:23 p.m.

In Response To: Guess what XG 3-ply does here (Timothy Chow)

XG 3-ply passes.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
7 point match
pip: 67
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aCEc-BBB-------a-bAbbbb---:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.73% (G:46.37% B:2.42%) 60.27% (G:48.72% B:7.12%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.27% (G:5.39% B:0.19%) 39.73% (G:4.54% B:0.15%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.680 +1.257
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.763±0.009 (+0.754..+0.772)
Redouble/Take:+0.761 (-0.002)±0.015 (+0.746..+0.776)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.237)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.7%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:57.3%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 28 minutes 17 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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