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RO - I call this close

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Tuesday, 13 October 2015, at 1:28 p.m.

In Response To: AtS Cube Action (David Rockwell)





White is Player 1

score: 4
pip: 116
9 point match
pip: 178
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-aDBbb--CD------bc-e-B----:1:-1:-1:00:4:0:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 58.519% (G:17.904% B:0.756%) 59.360% (G:18.860% B:0.858%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.481% (G:17.762% B:1.108%) 40.640% (G:18.468% B:1.622%)
Cubeless Equities +0.2148 +1.0162
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.8910 (-0.1090)±0.0090 (+0.8819..+0.9000)
Redouble/Take:+1.0000±0.0116 (+0.9884..+1.0116)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0000)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 37153198
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:50.1%
Duration: 2 hours 53 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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