[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Three Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 18 December 2015, at 5:02 a.m.

In Response To: And yet another play I blew in LA (Phil Simborg)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
1 point match
pip: 135
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BB-BcBA--Ba---c-cBcbA---A:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:1:10

Original position


1.XG Roller++Bar/18eq: -0.100
Player:
Opponent:		45.02% (G:11.16% B:0.16%)
54.98% (G:15.98% B:0.73%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 7/4eq: -0.124 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		43.79% (G:10.50% B:0.15%)
56.21% (G:14.35% B:0.63%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 7/3eq: -0.175 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		41.24% (G:12.79% B:0.21%)
58.76% (G:20.88% B:1.03%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21 10/7eq: -0.191 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		40.46% (G:9.38% B:0.13%)
59.54% (G:14.05% B:0.65%)

I hope I'm not jumping the gun here, but I'm guessing that Phil was not planning to post bot info.

Above is an XGR++ evaluation of the original position.

Below are two variants that contrast the original, and one cusp.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 148
1 point match
pip: 135
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BB-BcBA--Ba---c-bBbbAb--A:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:1:10

Variant 1
Compared to the original, White's 3pt has been made


1.Rollout1Bar/21 7/4eq: -0.171
Player:
Opponent:		41.45% (G:11.95% B:0.16%)
58.55% (G:15.74% B:1.26%)		Conf.: กำ 0.002 (-0.173...-0.168) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 04 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.178 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		41.12% (G:11.04% B:0.19%)
58.88% (G:21.44% B:2.07%)		Conf.: กำ 0.003 (-0.180...-0.175) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 13 minutes
3.Rollout2Bar/21 10/7eq: -0.261 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		36.95% (G:9.14% B:0.07%)
63.05% (G:16.06% B:1.33%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (-0.266...-0.256) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 01 minute
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
1 point match
pip: 137
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BB-BcB--ABa---c-cBcbA---A:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:1:10

Variant 2
Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted by 7/9


1.Rollout1Bar/21 9/6eq: -0.111
Player:
Opponent:		44.46% (G:12.57% B:0.17%)
55.54% (G:12.17% B:0.74%)		Conf.: กำ 0.003 (-0.113...-0.108) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 41 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.117 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		44.14% (G:12.37% B:0.20%)
55.86% (G:15.27% B:1.33%)		Conf.: กำ 0.003 (-0.120...-0.115) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 52 minutes
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
1 point match
pip: 143
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BB--cBAB-Ba---c-cBcbA---A:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:1:10

Variant 3
Compared to the original, Blue has his 8pt instead of 4pt


1.Rollout1Bar/21 7/4eq: -0.141
Player:
Opponent:		42.93% (G:11.22% B:0.17%)
57.07% (G:14.58% B:1.10%)		Conf.: กำ 0.003 (-0.144...-0.139) - [62.8%]
Duration: 1 hour 44 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.142 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		42.90% (G:11.29% B:0.17%)
57.10% (G:17.24% B:1.62%)		Conf.: กำ 0.003 (-0.145...-0.139) - [37.2%]
Duration: 1 hour 55 minutes
3.Rollout2Bar/21 10/7eq: -0.212 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		39.40% (G:9.65% B:0.19%)
60.60% (G:15.51% B:1.17%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (-0.217...-0.207) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 26 seconds
4.Rollout2Bar/22 7/3eq: -0.222 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		38.91% (G:12.27% B:0.11%)
61.09% (G:22.58% B:2.79%)		Conf.: กำ 0.006 (-0.227...-0.216) - [0.0%]
Duration: 49 minutes 00 second
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.