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Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 30 December 2015, at 6:25 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
1 point match
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bCCBaC---AB-------cbbaacA:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:1:10

Original Position


1.Rollout1Bar/23* 23/17eq: +0.557
Player:
Opponent:		77.86% (G:41.95% B:15.71%)
22.14% (G:2.82% B:0.09%)		Conf.: � 0.004 (+0.553...+0.562) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 05 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/23* 11/5* eq: +0.505 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		75.25% (G:48.56% B:23.67%)
24.75% (G:5.92% B:0.64%)		Conf.: � 0.006 (+0.499...+0.511) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 20 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Tim's rollout of the original position.

Below are three variants. Variant 1 is a cusp. Variants 2 and 3 (side by side) are at "Unlimited" scores that contrast each other (but only one contrasts the original).

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
1 point match
pip: 104
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bCBBaC--AAB-------cbbaacA:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:1:10

Variant 1
Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted by 3/9


1.Rollout1Bar/23* 11/5* eq: +0.563
Player:
Opponent:		78.14% (G:50.98% B:23.82%)
21.86% (G:7.04% B:1.23%)		Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.560...+0.566) - [85.1%]
Duration: 40 minutes 17 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/23* 23/17eq: +0.561 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		78.05% (G:43.33% B:16.64%)
21.95% (G:4.57% B:0.20%)		Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.559...+0.563) - [14.9%]
Duration: 40 minutes 10 seconds
3.Rollout2Bar/23* 10/4eq: +0.492 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:		74.60% (G:41.31% B:15.19%)
25.40% (G:3.54% B:0.14%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.487...+0.497) - [0.0%]
Duration: 44 minutes 29 seconds
4.Rollout2Bar/23* 9/3eq: +0.480 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		73.99% (G:41.14% B:15.48%)
26.01% (G:3.95% B:0.14%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.475...+0.485) - [0.0%]
Duration: 42 minutes 13 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
Unlimited Game
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bCCBaC---AB-------cbbaacA:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10

Variant 2....."Normal" scores
(same cube placement and board position as the original)


1.Rollout1Bar/23* 23/17eq: +1.122
Player:
Opponent:		78.57% (G:38.80% B:4.48%)
21.43% (G:3.28% B:0.13%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+1.117...+1.126) - [99.8%]
Duration: 49 minutes 45 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/23* 11/5* eq: +1.109 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		76.30% (G:47.51% B:7.76%)
23.70% (G:5.45% B:0.36%)		Conf.: กำ 0.007 (+1.101...+1.116) - [0.2%]
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bCCBaC---AB-------cbbaacA:1:-1:1:62:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 3.....Money, opponent owns cube
(same board position as the original)


1.Rollout1Bar/23* 11/5* eq: +0.922
Player:
Opponent:		76.13% (G:47.43% B:8.09%)
23.87% (G:5.48% B:0.37%)		Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.916...+0.927) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/23* 23/17eq: +0.886 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		78.42% (G:39.30% B:4.79%)
21.58% (G:3.39% B:0.15%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.882...+0.891) - [0.0%]
Duration: 58 minutes 57 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 

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