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My 55 reply is a whopper

Posted By: Kevin McDonough
Date: Sunday, 3 January 2016, at 8:34 p.m.

Please help me understand why the usual blitz play is a whopper AtS.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 158
5 point match
pip: 167
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----EaC---dE-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:55:1:3:0:5:10
Blue to play 55

1.XG Roller++13/8(2) 6/1*(2) eq: +0.680
Player:
Opponent:		53.26% (G:20.43% B:0.51%)
46.74% (G:10.26% B:0.48%)
2.XG Roller++8/3(2) 6/1*(2) eq: +0.581 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		53.07% (G:23.71% B:0.66%)
46.93% (G:10.86% B:0.58%)
3.3-ply13/3 6/1*(2) eq: +0.489 (-0.191)
Player:
Opponent:		50.19% (G:19.81% B:0.61%)
49.81% (G:12.07% B:0.65%)
4.3-ply13/3 8/3 6/1* eq: +0.459 (-0.222)
Player:
Opponent:		50.16% (G:18.72% B:0.65%)
49.84% (G:12.29% B:0.68%)
5.2-ply13/3(2)eq: +0.313 (-0.367)
Player:
Opponent:		48.96% (G:15.15% B:0.47%)
51.04% (G:12.40% B:0.54%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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