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Rollout
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: Here's a good opportunity to laugh at XG 3-ply (Timothy Chow)
Date: Thursday, 7 January 2016, at 5:17 p.m.
I get some satisfaction when XG 3-ply disagrees with a rollout, even if I don't understand the position myself.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 1537 point match pip: 67
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aCEc-BBB-------a-bAbbbb---:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:7:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 60.73% (G:46.37% B:2.42%) 60.27% (G:48.72% B:7.12%) Opponent Winning Chances: 39.27% (G:5.39% B:0.19%) 39.73% (G:4.54% B:0.15%) Cubeless Equities +0.680 +1.257 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.763 ±0.009 (+0.754..+0.772) Redouble/Take: +0.761 (-0.002) ±0.015 (+0.746..+0.776) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.237) Best Cube action: No redouble / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.7% Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 57.3% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 28 minutes 17 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
XG 3-ply:
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 1537 point match pip: 67
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aCEc-BBB-------a-bAbbbb---:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:7:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in 3-ply No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 64.99% (G:46.80% B:0.59%) 64.97% (G:46.85% B:0.59%) Opponent Winning Chances: 35.01% (G:4.22% B:0.23%) 35.03% (G:4.23% B:0.23%) Cubeless Equities +0.761 +1.423 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.892 (-0.108) Redouble/Take: +1.064 (+0.064) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
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