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Rollout: Still not sure why

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 6 February 2016, at 12:56 a.m.

In Response To: Double 3's: Too many choices again (Timothy Chow)

21/18(2) 21/15 isn't so bad at DMP but it ranks 6th in the rollout below.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
pip: 159
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---abCC-C---bC---b-ccCb---:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout121/18 13/10(3)eq: +0.062
Player:
Opponent:
51.26% (G:11.46% B:0.49%)
48.74% (G:11.36% B:0.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.048...+0.075) - [100.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 50 seconds
2.Rollout121/18(3) 8/5eq: +0.026 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:
50.66% (G:9.72% B:0.34%)
49.34% (G:11.25% B:0.36%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.014...+0.038) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 43 seconds
3.Rollout121/18(3) 5/2eq: +0.025 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:
50.46% (G:9.77% B:0.30%)
49.54% (G:10.98% B:0.36%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.014...+0.037) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 43 seconds
4.Rollout113/10(3) 6/3* eq: +0.015 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
50.66% (G:11.24% B:0.47%)
49.34% (G:12.80% B:0.40%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.001...+0.028) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 06 seconds
5.Rollout113/10(3) 5/2eq: +0.010 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:
49.86% (G:10.72% B:0.34%)
50.14% (G:9.80% B:0.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.002...+0.021) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 05 seconds
6.Rollout121/18(2) 21/15eq: -0.005 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
50.94% (G:10.29% B:0.42%)
49.06% (G:14.93% B:0.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.018...+0.007) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 23 seconds
7.Rollout113/10(3) 8/5eq: -0.006 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:
49.73% (G:10.34% B:0.35%)
50.27% (G:10.21% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.018...+0.006) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 13 seconds
8.Rollout113/7(2)eq: -0.025 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:
49.62% (G:11.22% B:0.51%)
50.38% (G:12.30% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.039...-0.012) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 41 seconds
9.Rollout121/18(3) 6/3* eq: -0.027 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:
50.24% (G:10.47% B:0.41%)
49.76% (G:15.33% B:0.44%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.041...-0.014) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 19 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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