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21 from the bar. Bar/22 or Bar/23 24/23?

Posted By: Mochy
Date: Thursday, 21 April 2016, at 4:31 p.m.

I always suffer from this little 21. Today I compare three positions to see the difference. The only difference between problems are Blue's inner board. I wonder why the best play changes as Blue shift the point.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 168
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--B-D-C-a-eC---b-d-b--BA:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller++Bar/22eq: -0.332
Player:
Opponent:
41.55% (G:11.03% B:0.33%)
58.45% (G:16.12% B:1.04%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 6/5eq: -0.347 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
42.42% (G:11.33% B:0.41%)
57.58% (G:19.44% B:1.59%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/23 24/23eq: -0.358 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
40.81% (G:10.94% B:0.33%)
59.19% (G:15.86% B:0.84%)
4.XG Roller+Bar/23 8/7eq: -0.400 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:
40.64% (G:10.90% B:0.39%)
59.36% (G:18.95% B:1.44%)
5.2-plyBar/24 6/4eq: -0.428 (-0.096)
Player:
Opponent:
38.57% (G:10.31% B:0.43%)
61.43% (G:19.20% B:1.45%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 166
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B--D-C-a-eC---b-d-b--BA:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller++Bar/23 24/23eq: -0.394
Player:
Opponent:
39.84% (G:10.91% B:0.33%)
60.16% (G:16.76% B:0.90%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/22eq: -0.428 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:
39.40% (G:10.58% B:0.35%)
60.60% (G:17.87% B:1.23%)
3.4-plyBar/23 6/5eq: -0.412 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:
40.09% (G:10.57% B:0.37%)
59.91% (G:19.17% B:1.52%)
4.4-plyBar/23 8/7eq: -0.471 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:
38.58% (G:10.34% B:0.35%)
61.42% (G:19.70% B:1.59%)
5.3-plyBar/24 6/4eq: -0.549 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:
36.93% (G:10.02% B:0.40%)
63.07% (G:21.54% B:1.92%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 164
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB---D-C-a-eC---b-d-b--BA:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.XG Roller++Bar/22eq: -0.481
Player:
Opponent:
37.70% (G:10.34% B:0.34%)
62.30% (G:17.89% B:1.19%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 24/23eq: -0.498 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
37.20% (G:10.16% B:0.29%)
62.80% (G:17.33% B:0.94%)
3.3-plyBar/23 6/5eq: -0.527 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:
37.46% (G:10.01% B:0.40%)
62.54% (G:20.65% B:1.72%)
4.3-plyBar/23 8/7eq: -0.558 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:
36.40% (G:10.07% B:0.35%)
63.60% (G:20.59% B:1.73%)
5.2-plyBar/24 8/6eq: -0.643 (-0.161)
Player:
Opponent:
34.40% (G:9.41% B:0.34%)
65.60% (G:21.18% B:1.63%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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